{"id":22218,"date":"2016-03-31T02:23:37","date_gmt":"2016-03-31T08:23:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/?p=22218"},"modified":"2016-04-04T08:31:17","modified_gmt":"2016-04-04T14:31:17","slug":"everestlhotse-2016-signs-quieter-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/2016\/03\/31\/everestlhotse-2016-signs-quieter-season\/","title":{"rendered":"Everest\/Lhotse 2016: Signs of a Quieter Season."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/2016\/03\/31\/everestlhotse-2016-signs-quieter-season\/img_2219\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-22229\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-22229\" src=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/IMG_2219-225x169.jpg\" alt=\"Kathmandu Arrival 2016\" width=\"225\" height=\"169\" \/><\/a>I arrived in Nepal and immediately felt something was different. The normal crazy drive from the airport to the hotel was,   well, almost relaxing. Traffic was reasonable, drivers almost polite &#8230; Kathmandu has changed.<\/p>\n<p>In speaking with guides and other climbers, there is a sense of calm anxiety\u00a0about this year&#8217;s Everest season. Perhaps it is more of a sense of\u00a0capitulation to the inevitable forces of nature that no one can control, or anticipate. However, there is also a deep sense of hope that this year will be quiet, with no-drama; peace in the mountains.<\/p>\n<h3>Permits Down<\/h3>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/thehimalayantimes.com\/nepal\/army-personnel-to-dominate-mt-everest-expeditions-this-season\/\" target=\"_blank\">Himalayan Times<\/a> reported today that 206 Everest permits had been issued to 24 different teams. Of these totals, 60 members are from military units around the world, fairly normal in recent times as climbing Everest has become a &#8220;perk&#8221; for many\u00a0military operations, especially from India.<\/p>\n<p>I am estimating on the Nepal side of Everest that with\u00a0around\u00a0230 non-nepali\/Sherpa\u00a0Everest climbers, a bit down from the 265\u00a0permits issued last year, and perhaps 50 for Lhotse, also down from the 93 permits in 2015, the flanks of Sagarmatha will be quieter. It will take a few more weeks to get the final\u00a0numbers for the Nepal Ministry of Tourism.<\/p>\n<p>On the Tibet side, it appears to be a busy season with more climbers than normal. 7 Summits Club has 26 members, including a seven person female team. SummitClimb is reported\u00a0to have a large team as well. It will be interesting to see if the\u00a0crowding situation\u00a0has just\u00a0shifted from the south to the north.<\/p>\n<p>While it seems that the climbers\u00a0may be down, some first\u00a0hand reports\u00a0from the Khumbu note a lot of trekking\u00a0activity there.<\/p>\n<h3>A Changing Guide Picture<\/h3>\n<p>As I covered in my three part series: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/2016\/02\/19\/everest-2016-is-this-the-last-year-for-western-guides\/\" target=\"_blank\">Everest a Changing Mountain<\/a>\u00a0the guiding situation is changing on Everest. Looking at the makeup of the teams for 2016, some long time major guides have significantly lower numbers, for example Alpine Ascents with two members, and Himex with five. Alpenglow has two members on the Tibet side.<\/p>\n<p>Some of the regular western guides are not here at all, Benegas Brothers, , Peak Freaks and RMI for example. Dave Hahn, with 15 Everest summits, is not here for the first time in years.<\/p>\n<p>But Sherpa owned and operated Seven Summits Treks has over 40 members. Bucking the western trend is IMG also\u00a0with over 40 members. Both of these companies offer their south side Everest climb well under the $65,000 often quoted in the press coming in between $35,000 to\u00a0$45,000 for a Sherpa lead climb.<\/p>\n<p>A couple of the high-end priced outfits ($60K and up) like Adventure Consultants and Madison Mountaineering have full teams but some have cut their defintion of &#8216;full&#8217; to\u00a0only 8 or 9 climbers &#8211; down from 15 in 2015.<\/p>\n<p>Some of this is due to insurance\u00a0covering\u00a0100% of the 2014 and 2015 season cancellations combined with those permits being\u00a0extended a few years thus encouraging people to climb\u00a0sooner rather\u00a0than later. Look for 2017 to have record crowds from Nepal based on these factors.<\/p>\n<h3>Base Camp under Construction<\/h3>\n<p>Multiple Sherpa teams are at Everest Base Camp building\u00a0tent platforms for the expanse of dining, cooking and sleeping tents required by the 800 or so inhabitants currently\u00a0enroute. The location of the camps has not changed since the 2015 avalanche off Pumori\/Lintgren that took 18 lives.<\/p>\n<p>In general, the earthquake induced avalanche was felt to be an anomaly thus not requiring moving base camp from its tradition location. In all fairness, it is not clear where base camp would be moved as the terrain at the base of the Khumbu Icefall does not offer many\u00a0options.<\/p>\n<h3>Icefall route<\/h3>\n<p>The Icefall Doctors continue to make\u00a0progress establishing the ladders and fixed rope through the Khumbu Icefall. While several press articles have highlighted &#8220;large holes and cracks&#8221;, my local\u00a0sources tell me it is not much different than last year\u00a0and follows\u00a0basically the same route.<\/p>\n<p>One <strong>MAJOR<\/strong> change for 2016 is that the Nepal Ministry of Tourism is allowing the fixed ropes, anchors and oxygen used\u00a0by the summit rope fixing team to be transported by helicopter to Camp 1 in the Western Cwm. This gear will be used\u00a0to fix the route to the summit, not to be confused with the Icefall Doctors\u00a0who only fix the\u00a0route to Camp 2.<\/p>\n<p>The significance of this is that it will eliminate 85 trips through the Khumbu Icefall by Sherpas, a meaningful change is how to make\u00a0Everest safer\u00a0when\u00a0climb from Nepal. The Expedition Operators Association (EAO) deserves credit for driving\u00a0this change.<\/p>\n<h3>A &#8216;Dry&#8217; Year<\/h3>\n<p>The Sherpas are reporting\u00a0that base camp is dry and windy at the moment. There is talk that 2016\u00a0could be similar to 2012 with little fresh\u00a0snow on the Lhotse Face. In 2012, this created a dangerous situation with a lot of rock fall causing the Sherpas to take the fixed line climber&#8217;s\u00a0right of the normal\u00a0route up from the base of the Lhotse Face. This adds about half an hour to the climb from Camp 2 to Camp 3 but is safer\u00a0from the rockfall.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_22232\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-22232\" style=\"width: 180px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/2016\/03\/31\/everestlhotse-2016-signs-quieter-season\/imgres\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-22232\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-22232\" src=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/imgres-180x225.jpg\" alt=\"Summit Oxygen Elite System\" width=\"180\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/imgres-180x225.jpg 180w, https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/imgres.jpg 201w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 180px) 100vw, 180px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-22232\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Summit Oxygen Elite System<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3>Summit Oxygen<\/h3>\n<p>Finally, a bit of an update on my Lhotse climb. I will be using oxygen supplied by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.summitoxygen.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Summit Oxygen<\/a>. I met with Neil Greenwood this morning to\u00a0go over his latest system branded the Elite System. The Summit Oxygen system is now used by many commercial guides including Adventure Consultants, Altitude Junkies, Alpenglow, Himex, Jagged Globe and Madison Mountaineering.<\/p>\n<p>The innovation is a flow control valve located on the tube from the oxygen tank to the mask. This allows the climber to\u00a0regulate oxygen flow, adjusting it to a lower flow when at rest or a higher one in moments of high demand thus when carefully managed can make the oxygen last longer.<\/p>\n<p>The prior adjustment method\u00a0required a Sherpa or teammate to make any adjustments on the regulator located\u00a0on the bottle\u00a0in the backpack.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_22233\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-22233\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/2016\/03\/31\/everestlhotse-2016-signs-quieter-season\/thumb_img_2236_1024\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-22233\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-22233 size-medium\" src=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/thumb_IMG_2236_1024-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"Neil Greenwood, Summit Oxygen and Alan Arnette\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/thumb_IMG_2236_1024-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/thumb_IMG_2236_1024-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/thumb_IMG_2236_1024-640x360.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/thumb_IMG_2236_1024.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-22233\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Neil Greenwood, Summit Oxygen and Alan Arnette<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Obviously, this\u00a0system requires a great deal of personal responsibility for the climber so as not to turn\u00a0the flow rate to\u00a0maximum and run it of oxygen. As is customary, Kami Sherpa\u00a0who is climbing\u00a0me with\u00a0use\u00a0the same\u00a0system albeit at a lower flow rate. We will start using supplemental oxygen at Camp 3 or 23,500 feet. I have\u00a0used the Summit Oxygen systems on Everest, Manaslu and K2 &#8211; all summits, so I hope my luck continues on Lhotse.<\/p>\n<h3>Alzheimer&#8217;s<\/h3>\n<p>My regular followers know\u00a0I climb to raise awareness and research funds to find a cure for the disease that killed my mom in 2009. Please visit this <a href=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/alzheimer\/donate.php\" target=\"_blank\">page<\/a>\u00a0to learn about potential organizations to support.<\/p>\n<p>There is a matching grant up to $1,000 in total donations now for any donation made to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.usagainstalzheimers.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">UsAgainstAlzheimer&#8217;s<\/a>. Please let me know if you make a donation (just your email, not the amount)\u00a0to get the matching credit.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/alzheimer\/donate.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/alzheimer\/donate.php\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-22234 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/donate100alzheimersround.gif\" alt=\"donate to Alzheimers\" width=\"150\" height=\"45\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Climb On!<br \/>\nAlan<br \/>\nMemories are Everything<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I arrived in Nepal and immediately felt something was different. The normal crazy drive from the airport to the hotel was, well, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"I arrived to a calm Kathmandu for Everest\/Lhotse 2016. With permits and tourism down, it may be a quieter season. #everest2016","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"dois","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[460,463],"tags":[461,464],"class_list":["post-22218","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-everest-2016-coverage","category-lhotse-2016","tag-everest-2016-coverage","tag-lhotse-2016-climb"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22218","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22218"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22218\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22218"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22218"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alanarnette.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22218"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}