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May 032019
 

In this case the forecast was spot on for huge winds from Cyclone Fani. Lots of damage reported. Expect a very quiet weekend as heavy snow could be next. I assume there will be limited movement between camps on either side.

While we watch climbers on Everest, India and Bangladesh are being pummeled. Winds near 140mph/225 kph were measured as it hit land. Extensive devastation is expected. Over 100 million people were in the storm’s direct path.

I will update this post as new information becomes available

Headlines

The rope teams on both sides have retreated to base camp to wait out the storm. This should be a 2-4 day delay. Teams wish it doesn’t happen, but in the big picture will not make a huge difference in summit schedules, unless there is another delay or storm.

Now there are a record 378 permits issued to member climbers on the Nepal side. No updates from Tibet.

Big Winds Now, Big Snow Next?

Chris Tomer of Tomer Weather Solutions who nailed the wind forecast but is uncertain on the amount of snow Everest will get:

I’m still forecasting snow today and Saturday morning then drier.  Don’t know how heavy it will be to be perfectly honest.  I’m watching the water vapor satellite and I can see the moisture is on the move in the general direction of the Everest region.  I can see a moisture plume fanning off the summit of Everest.  The current wind direction doesn’t support snow that high but could later as Fani moves by.

Cyclone Fani makes 2019 landfall

Nepal – Holding Tents Up with Hands

There are multiple reports, mostly from Camp 2, that the winds are horrible. Climbers are inside their tents, using their hands to hold to keep it from imploding.

High winds destroyed tents at Camp 2 in 2002

Tibet – Tents Destroyed

Sometimes one side of Everest gets hit and the other is spared but not this time. The North Col got hit hard but also ABC and CBC.

Adrian Ballinger sent me this update 8:00 pm his Friday night:

Many tents on the col were destroyed in the storm last night. That’s a lot of extra work for the sherpas. Now we get some snow from cyclone Fani and then the jet will stay close to Everest for the next week. Rope fixing team descended to basecamp. I wouldn’t expect rope fixing progress until after 10tg No risk to our expedition. We have plenty of extras for most items (tents, stoves, sleeping bags, etc)…members down suits (6 of them) is worst loss…we will be juggling a bit, or possibly get an emergency shipment from Eddie Bauer

  4 Responses to “Everest 2019: Big Winds!!!”

  1.  

    Cyclones in June are uncommon and ones in May are very rare here along east coast of India. Most commonly cyclones tend to crop up most commonly during retreat of Monsoons or early winters(Oct to Dec).

  2.  

    Watching from Australia, glued to each post. Goodluck.

  3.  

    Alan- I know that the season hasn’t started but I’m getting a bad feeling about it. Maybe I’m just spooked by the unrelated to Everest death of David Lama (a hero of mine), Jess Roskelley and Hansjörg Auer. Then the death of Dr. Chin which seems so avoidable. Now we have this massive hurricane, which makes me concerned for all in the path.

    Maybe it’s just superstition.

    Thanks for the reports

    •  

      I understand but wouldn’t connect the dots that are a bit far from each other. Actually given we are in mid-season, everything is going quite well. Both sides are noting decent climbing conditions. Ropes are in very high and should reach summit by the 12th giving the teams a solid 18 days, almost 3 weeks, to do their summit pushes. Overall I feel good about the season.