Welcome to Everest 2025. The season is still a few months away, and I’ll be posting several Everest 2025 big-picture updates before the season officially begins in early April:

2025 will be my 25th season of all things Everest: 19 times providing coverage, another four seasons of climbing on Everest, and two years attempting Lhotse.

I summited Everest on May 21, 2011, and have climbed on it three other times (all from Nepal) – 20022003, and 2008, each time reaching just below the Balcony around 27,500′ (8400 meters) before health, weather or my judgment caused me to turn back.

I attempted Lhotse in 2015 and 2016. When not climbing, I cover the Everest season from my home in Colorado as I did in  200420052006200720092010, 2012201320142015, 2016, 201720182019, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 and now the 2025 season. In 2020, when both sides of the mountain were closed due to COVID, I did a virtual series, Virtual Everest 2020 – Support the Climbing Sherpas, to raise money for the out-of-work Sherpa community working with nine commercial guiding companies.


Ida Arnette

Why This Coverage?

 I have one reason for this coverage: Alzheimer’s. I lost my mom, Ida, and four aunts to the disease, which has changed my life. Please read more at this link. I hope you find value in my coverage and consider donating to select non-profits or any organization you prefer. I receive no financial benefit from your donations. Click the button on the right sidebar to donate.

donate to Alzheimers


Bottom Line

For 98% of all Everest climbers, the choice of routes is the Northeast (Tibet) and Southeast (Nepal) Ridges. For today’s commercial clients, all other routes are too dangerous, complicated, and not commercially guided. This post will examine the various routes and explore the most popular commercial ones. It may be exaggerated to say that all the routes on Everest have been climbed because the next generation of climbers continuously blazes new trails. However, climbing Everest appears well understood across all aspects of the hill. There are about twenty named routes, almost all of which have been tried at least once, with teams summiting. Many sections and parts of well-known routes still have not been climbed, and some Faces have not been climbed in a direct line, aka direttissima.

Opportunities do exist for a new route or line on Everest, and I’m eager to see someone break the commercial stranglehold.

 


Preparing for Everest is More than Training

summit coach

Dreaming of climbing a Colorado 14er, Mount Everest, or K2? With 30 years of high-altitude climbing experience, Alan Arnette and Summit Coach provide personalized plans to help you achieve your goals. Visit the Summit Coach website for pricing and services.


2024 Review

Everest 2024 might be remembered for summits, politics, deaths, ignored rules, near misses and disturbing allegations of sexual misconduct. Putting all this in a headline is challenging, but I believe the Everest guiding industry is at a Rubicon – a point of no return. Not to be lost in this mix is the joy and satisfaction felt by hundreds of summiteers. They worked and trained diligently to celebrate standing on the top of the world for only a few minutes. It’s funny how you can work so long for a goal, and the moment is over in a blink, but the memory lasts a lifetime—well done to all who summited, to those who showed up. Once again, the Sherpas proved they dominated the mountain with impressive altitude performance.

The Himalayan Database shows that between 1953 and 2024, 6,097 Sherpas have summited Everest compared to 5,899 members, and that gap is growing each year. However, more foreigners have died than Sherpas, 225 compared to 110. We may have heard the last chirps from Everest’s “canary in the coal mine.” Between the difficulty of getting the fixed ropes through the Icefall and the collapse of a cornice at the Hillary Step, climbing the reliable Southeast Ridge route could be at risk. The cause is most probably a warming environment. As for summits, the Himalayan Database reported in December 2024:

Summits and Deaths for 2024

  NEPAL TIBET TOTAL  
Members 319 51 370 43%
Hired 468 23 491 57%
TOTAL Summits 787 74 861  
% of Total 91% 9%    
Summit Rate 68.25 67.27 68.17  
Member Deaths 6 0 6 61%
Hired Deaths 2 0 2 39%
TOTAL Deaths 8 0 8  
% of Total  100%  0%    
Death Rate 0.69 0 0.63  

    Price matters when it comes to safety. In 2023 and 2024, 23 of the 26 deaths were climbed, with operators charging under the median price. Continue reading about Everest 2024

2025 Preview

I suspect 2025 will be another busy year. First, there is the insatiable lure of Everest. Then there are the droves of inexperienced climbers drawn by “no-experienced required” low-cost operators that began in 2013. However, 2025 will be different; the north side is open to foreigners and Nepal will now implement the Everest (and presumably other 8000ers) climbing permit fee from $11,000 to $15,000 in September 2025, not impacting the Spring season. We can only guess the intended and unintended consequences: fewer permits, operators absorbing the increase to keep prices low, no meaningful difference, and more climbers shifting to Tibet from Nepal. We will see. For the 2025 spring Everest season, I anticipate 700 to 800 summits from both sides, comprising at least 150 on the Tibet side (members plus hired) and well over 650 on the Nepal side. Even with these numbers, the totals will still lag the pre-pandemic record set in 2019, which was 877 summits, 661 from Nepal and 216 from Tibet.   I expect 2025 to be a strong year on Everest, with more summits, deaths and controversy.


Follow the 2025 Everest Coverage!

Click here to subscribe to notifications for new blog posts.
 

Routes

It is challenging to analyze the routes because they are often named after their geological features, the national team, or even the person who first climbed them. However, about 20 climbing routes have been identified on Mt. Everest. Everest has three faces: the Southwest Face from Nepal, the East Face, aka Kangshung Face, from Tibet, and the North Face, also from Tibet. The Kangshung Face has seen the fewest attempts and even fewer summits.

Non-Standard routes

The non-standard routes have many variations. For example, you can climb the standard Northeast Ridge to the summit and return via the Great Couloir or the North Face. The Southwest Face is also popular; this variation includes the Bonington Route and climbing via the Rib. While most climbers on the north side take the Northeast Ridge route, they join the ridge in the middle. A Japanese team made the first ascent of the true Northeast Ridge in 1995. The route starts at roads and ends at 5,150 meters. One section of that route is called the Pinnacles and is highly technical and challenging. Navigating this section took them three days and 1,250 meters of rope. An interesting bit of trivia is that through December 2024, of the 12,884 summits, only 187 (141 members and 46 hired) took a “non-standard” route, not the Southeast or Northeast Ridge, to the summit. There were 70 (44 members and 26 hired) deaths on these climbs–21% of the total deaths, which partly explains why the standard routes are most popular with commercial operators–lower risks. The countries with the most summits on the non-standard routes are Nepal (67), Japan (26), the USA (27), S. Korea (23), the USSR (23), and Russia (16.) Using the Himalayan database, I researched the non-standard routes to get an idea of the volume on these routes. This is not an all-inclusive list.

ROUTE SUMMITS DEATHS LAST ATTEMPT
Khumbutse-W Ridge-N Face (Hornbein Couloir)  2 1 1989
Lho La-W Ridge  19 2 1989
N Face  24 0 2004
S Pillar  45 1  2000
SW Face, including the Bonington Route  48 2  2009
 West Ridge- North Face- Hornbein Couloir 8 0 1986
E Face 12 0 1999

The Deadly Route?

As this chart shows, climbing the standard routes accounts for 79% of the deaths, with the Southeast Ridge dominating all deaths at 175 or 52%. This number is heavily driven by the 2023 record of eighteen deaths and the 2014 ice serac release off the West Shoulder of Everest onto the Khumbu Icefall, taking 17 lives. Also, 14 people died at Basecamp in 2015 after a 7.8 magnitude earthquake caused an avalanche off the Pumori-Lintgren ridgeline. Whether these were one-time events or ongoing concerns has yet to be determined, but in any case, climbers must carefully evaluate the risk of any route. Analyzing these death statistics more closely shows that on both sides, descending from the summit is significantly more deadly for members, with 46 deaths compared to 12 ascending on the Nepal side. From Tibet, 43 climbers died while descending and 6 ascending. Here is the death summary by routes through 2024:

Reason

Northeast Ridge  (Tibet)

Southeast Ridge (Nepal)

Other Routes South

Other Routes North

total

Avalanche

9

41

13

14

77

Fall

18

34

18

8

78

AMS

12

31

0

5

48

Exposure/Frostbite

11

10

2

3

26

Illness (non-AMS)

5

18

1

1

26

Exhaustion

12

17

0

1

30

Icefall Collapse

0

17

2

0

19

Crevasse

0

10

0

0

10

Disappearance

4

6

0

3

13

other/unknown

3

2

1

1

7

Falling Rock/Ice

0

5

0

0

5

Total

74

191

34

36

335

Death Rate for those above BC

0.89

1.02

2.28

1.83

 

% of Total

21%

52%

13%

12%

 

“Unclimbed” Routes

Many sections of Everest have not been climbed, and some Faces have not been climbed in a direct line, aka direttissima. A case can be made that the complete route has not been climbed when combining different routes. This example applies all over Everest. However, there are some clear (I think) examples like the Southwest Face Direct, North Face Direct, and East Face (Kangshung) Direct. There is one route that clearly remains unclimbed, the East Ridge, also known as Fantasy Ridge. This extremely dangerous and avalanche-prone area has been deemed unclimbable in years with little snow, as Dave Watson and the team on the Fantasy Ridge showed in 2006.


Hello from Alan Arnette

summit coach

Summit Coach is a consulting service that aids climbers worldwide in achieving their goals through personalized consulting services rooted in Alan Arnette’s 30 years of high-altitude mountaineering experience and 30 years as a business executive. At 58, he currently holds the American age record for summiting K2. We have supported many climbers in reaching their goals, from a Colorado 14er to Aconcagua, Denali, Cotopaxi, Everest, and even K2. We invite you to explore the Summit Coach website for consultation services and pricing details.


New Routes

The last team to complete a new route was a Korean team on the Southwest Face in 2009. In 2019, Cory Richards and Esteban “Topo” Mena made a valiant attempt to send a 6,551-foot direct line in a couloir, a narrow rock gully, on the Northeast face of Everest. The gully joins a high ridge, continues to a steep face, and on to the summit. The route began just above Advanced Base Camp at 21,325 feet on the Tibet side of Everest. Eventually, they turned back at around 7,600 meters due to “conditions we encountered coupled with our chosen tactics compounded by exertion.” after spending 40 hours on the wall with one open bivvy.

Everest Faces

This is a list by Face with descriptions that include the common names plus some used by the Himalayan Database. The illustrations are courtesy of National Geographic (Martin Gamache, Jaime Hritsik, Chiqui Esteban, Ng Staff Sources: 3D Reality Maps; The American Alpine Journal; The Himalayan Database; Ed Webster; East Face Imagery Courtesy Of Digital Globe @ 2012; Raphael Slawinski). National Geographic had a great piece about a proposed new route in 2015, with an excellent article and animations, but it has since taken it down.

North Face

  1. (J) Integral N.E. Ridge – 1995 Japanese team
  2. (L) Russian Couloir – 2004 Russian
  3. (K) The Complete NE Ridge, N-NE
  4. (M) South Pillar, NE Ridge-N Face-Norton Couloir I – Messner Solo Route 1980 Messner Italian
  5. (N) American Direct – 1984 American
  6. (O) The Great Couloir aka Norton Couloir (White Limbo) – 1984 Australian
  7. (P) Russian Direct – 2004 Russian
  8. (Q) Japanese Supercouloir – 1980 Japanese
  9. (A) West Ridge Direct – 1979 Yugoslavian
  10. (R) Canadian Variation – 1986 Canadian
North Face Everest Routes Courtesy: MARTIN GAMACHE, JAIME HRITSIK, CHIQUI ESTEBAN, NG STAFF SOURCES: 3D REALITY MAPS; THE AMERICAN ALPINE JOURNAL; THE HIMALAYAN DATABASE; ED WEBSTER; EAST FACE IMAGERY COURTESY OF DIGITAL GLOBE @ 2012; RAPHAEL SLAWINSKI
North Face Everest Routes

East Face

  1. (H) East Face-S Col: Neverest Buttress – 1988 International
  2. (I) Southwest Pillar, East Face: American Buttress – 1983 American
  3. (J) Integral N.E. Ridge – 1995 Japanese
  4. (K) N. Ridge/N.E. Ridge – 1960 Chinese
East Face–Everest Routes

Southwest Face

  1. (A) American West Ridge – 1963 American
  2. (C) Korean (Park) – 2009 South Korean Team
  3. (D) Russian Buttress – 1982 Soviet
  4. (E) Southwest Face – 1975 British
  5. (F) South Pillar – 1980 Polish
  6. G) South Col – 1953 British
Southwest Face–Everest Routes

 

Everest Routes
Everest Routes by Pete Poston. Scott Parazynski, MD, took a photo during Space Shuttle mission STS-66 in November 1994.

Standard Routes

By now, you know two routes dominate Everest, with 12,697 out of the 12,884 summits following the same basic route pioneered in 1953. John Hunt’s British expedition to the summit used the Southeast Ridge-South Col, and Shi Zhang’s 1960 summit used the Northeast Ridge-North Col. Today, these routes seem to be caught up in guide politics regarding which is safer, the degree of difficulty and the opportunity for success. Either side can make an argument for climbing.

Southeast Ridge – South Col Route

Pluses Concerns
Beautiful trek to base camp in the Khumbu Khumbu Icefall instability
Easy access to villages for pre-summit recovery Crowds, especially on summit night
Helicopter rescue from as high as Camp 3 at 23,500’–if necessary Cornice Traverse exposure and Hillary Step cornice instability
Slightly warmer sometimes, with lower winds Slightly longer summit night

Northeast Ridge – North Col Route

Pluses Concerns
Fewer people (half of the Nepal side) Colder temps and harsher winds
Can drive to base camp Camps at higher elevations
Easier climbing to mid-level camps More difficult with smooth or loose rocks
Slightly shorter summit night Currently, there is no opportunity for helicopter rescue at any point

Now, let’s take an in-depth look at both sides.

South Col Route

Mt. Everest was first summited by Sherpa Tenzing Norgay and New Zealander Edmund Hillary with a British expedition in 1953. They used the South Col route, which had only been attempted twice by Swiss teams in the spring and autumn of 1952. They reached 8,500 m, well above the South Col. Norgay was with the Swiss, thus gaining the experience he used on the British expedition. The Swiss returned in 1956 to make the second summit of Everest. This is a typical south-side climb schedule showing the average time and the distance from the previous camp, plus a brief description of each section. Of course, this schedule is subject to change. Some operators running “speed” climbs will skip some of these steps. More details can be found on the South Col route page.

This animation is based on Alan Arnette’s experience climbing Everest four times and summiting on May 21, 2011. Not all teams will use this exact schedule to summit from the Nepal side via the South Col. Some teams will only do one climb as they acclimate to other peaks or at home. Please look at the South Col route page for a more detailed description and animated route map.

Icefall Bypass?

Part of the Icefall Bypass on Nuptse. Courtesy of marc Batard
Part of the Icefall Bypass on Nuptse. Courtesy of Marc Batard

70-year-old French alpinist Marc Batard twice, in 2021 and 2022, with a team of four French climbers and two Sherpas, attempted to establish a route to bypass the Khumbu Icefall by climbing on the flanks of Nuptse. He’s currently raising money for another attempt in 2025. He hopes to finish the route through what he calls “the traverse” to the Western Cwm and Camp 1 this spring. Nuptse is the southern wall above the Icefall. The Benegas Brothers advocated for this for many years but could never make it a reality because of the objective dangers and climbing difficulty. Batard returned in 2022 to test his new route and set an age record for a no-Os summit, but he accomplished neither.  I believe the hope of climbing Nuptse’s flanks to bypass the Icefall is over, as the route is too difficult to be used commercially.  


What Makes Summit Coach Unique?

summit coach

At Summit Coach, we emphasize the entire preparation process for your climb beyond physical training. We begin with fitness, skills, and experience, then incorporate the mental and emotional tools necessary for a successful climb. Your teammates are welcome to join you at a discount, and we encourage your family to participate in your engagement so they understand what to expect during your climb. We strive to be affordable and provide our services at fair prices. Please visit the Summit Coach website for prices and offerings.


Northeast Ridge Route

Everest’s north side is steeped in history, with multiple attempts throughout the 1920s and 1930s. The first attempt was by a British team in 1921. Brit George Mallory led a small team to be the first humans to set foot on the mountain’s flanks by climbing up to the North Col (7003m). The second expedition, in 1922, reached 27,300 feet before turning back and was the first team to use supplemental oxygen. It was also on this expedition that the first deaths were reported when an avalanche killed seven Sherpas. The 1924 British expedition with George Mallory and Andrew “Sandy” Irvine is most notable for the mystery of whether they summited or not. If they did summit, that would precede Tenzing and Hillary by 29 years. Mallory’s body was found in 1999, but there was no proof that he died going up or coming down. Irvine’s booted foot was found in 2024, but the Kodak camera, which may hold the answer to their summit, has never been found. There is speculation that the Chinese found the infamous Kodak camera and didn’t tell the world to maintain their first summit on the Tibet side. A Chinese team made the first summit from Tibet on May 25, 1960. Nawang Gombu (Tibetan) and Chinese Chu Yin-Hau and Wang Fu-zhou, who is said to have climbed the Second Step in his sock feet, claimed the honor. In 1975, on a successful summit expedition, the Chinese installed the ladder on the Second Step. Tibet was closed to foreigners from 1950 to 1980, preventing further attempts until a Japanese team summited in 1980 via the Hornbein Couloir on the North Face. The north side started to attract more climbers in the mid-1990s, but today, it sees half the traffic as the Nepal side due to China capping permits at 300 and unpredictable mountain closures. In 2008 and 2009, obtaining a permit was difficult due to the Beijing Olympics, thus preventing many expeditions from attempting any route from Tibet. And it was closed to foreigners from 2020 through 2023 because of COVID and bureaucratic delays. Now, let’s look at the typical north-side schedule, which shows the average time from the previous camp, plus a brief description of each section. Of course, this schedule is subject to change. Some operators running “speed” climbs will skip some of these steps. More details can be found on the Northeast Ridge route page.

For a more detailed description and route pictures, please take a look at the Northeast Ridge route page.

Summary

I am often asked which side or route is safer, and my answer is to pick your poison, but the standard routes offer the safest options. The non-standard routes are the domain of elite and highly skilled alpinists, and even with their talent, the death rates soar. The south has the Khumbu Icefall on the standard routes, while the north has the Steps and Weather. However, these numbers clearly show that the South has a higher death rate. Despite the dangers of the icefall, I think most operators will say that the south side is safer and slightly more straightforward. But the real answer is no one knows what each season will bring. So train hard, gain skills on lower mountains, obtain altitude experience on another 8000m mountain before Everest, and go with a team you can count on in an emergency. Climb On! Alan Memories are Everything  


The Most Common Mistakes Climbers Make

summit coach

The most common mistakes climbers make include underestimating the effects of altitude on their bodies and overestimating their physical abilities. Summit Coach can help you achieve a balanced approach to preparation and clarify the confusing advice often found online. Please visit the Summit Coach website for prices and offerings.


.

Everest Pictures and Video

© All images owned and copyrighted by Alan Arnette unless noted. Unauthorized use and reproduction are strictly prohibited without specific permission.

A tour of Everest Base Camp 2016

One Response

  1. Interesting article. I would prefer Mount Everest is closed until it is cleaned up and even after that it should not be treated as a carnival ride. The iconic Uluru (aka Ayers Rock) in Australia is now a sacred site and no longer open to the public to clamber over. I would like to see the same for Mount Everest